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Hugo Pacheco's avatar

This is why the debate matters more in African economies: the binding constraint is often not whether government can create local currency, but whether local-currency spending reduces the need for scarce foreign currency or simply intensifies the queue for it. External public debt service in Sub-Saharan Africa has been rising as a share of revenue, which makes the FX side of sovereignty impossible to ignore.

Darren Quinn's avatar

Excellent work. And yes, I've written a lot on external constraints/balance of payments, this one is likely the best catch-all - https://darrenquinn.substack.com/p/the-thirlwall-trap-why-we-dont-need

My main point is no: we get that there are constraints, and you're close to correct with the fixed exchange ones in how they work, but they're not bounded by a mathematical law and have more flexibility than Post-Keynesian Structuralists recognise, yet they're still constrained.

There's more nuance to that again, depending on where you are on the spectrum of monetary sovereignty and what your institutional capabilities are, but in general, the above is the answer.

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